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Final 6-7
Wrigley Field
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Bubba Chandler
6
@
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Jameson Taillon
7
2026-04-12 · 18:20 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -22.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Bubba Chandler's alarming 10.98 BB/9 this season is the most critical factor — his command issues could derail PIT's chances against a steady Taillon at Wrigley."
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -28.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Bubba Chandler's alarming 10.98 BB/9 this season is the most critical factor — his command issues could derail PIT's chances against a steady Taillon at Wrigley."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Bubba Chandler's alarming 10.98 BB/9 this season is the most critical factor — his command issues could derail PIT's chances against a steady Taillon at Wrigley."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +11.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Pittsburgh's superior overall record and series advantage combined with Chicago's weak home splits make the Pirates a value play on the road."
run line
18%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -42.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Pittsburgh's superior overall record and series advantage combined with Chicago's weak home splits make the Pirates a value play on the road."
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Pittsburgh's superior overall record and series advantage combined with Chicago's weak home splits make the Pirates a value play on the road."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PIT
Edge: +13.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHC -1.5
Edge: -9.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 12.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 12.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -158 (-1.5) | +138 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +108 | -134 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 12.5 (O -106/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 12.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +113 | -135 | |
| Bovada | over under | 12.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 12.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +113 | -136 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 12.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +116 | -134 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 12.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 12.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 12.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -157 (-1.5) | +139 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 12.5 (O -105/U -116) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.