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Final 17-2
Chase Field
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Reynaldo López
17
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson
2
2026-04-03 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ARI's home field advantage and higher run-scoring offense slightly edges out ATL's superior pitching metrics in what projects to be a moderate-scoring game."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Edge: +1.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ARI's home field advantage and higher run-scoring offense slightly edges out ATL's superior pitching metrics in what projects to be a moderate-scoring game."
over under
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ARI's home field advantage and higher run-scoring offense slightly edges out ATL's superior pitching metrics in what projects to be a moderate-scoring game."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ARI
Edge: -8.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Edge: +2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -118 | +107 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -121 | -104 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -106 | -104 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -114 | -106 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -126 | +104 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -163 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -120 | +102 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +136 (+1.5) | -164 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -118 | +107 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -118 | +100 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +134 (+1.5) | -166 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.