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Final 6-3
Wrigley Field
WSN
Washington Nationals
Jake Irvin
6
@
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Shota Imanaga
3
2026-03-29 · 18:20 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +0.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Shota Imanaga's elite career profile (3.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 1.53 BB/9) creates an overwhelming pitching advantage over Jake Irvin that should carry the Cubs to a comfortable home victory."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Shota Imanaga's elite career profile (3.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 1.53 BB/9) creates an overwhelming pitching advantage over Jake Irvin that should carry the Cubs to a comfortable home victory."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Edge: +1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Shota Imanaga's elite career profile (3.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 1.53 BB/9) creates an overwhelming pitching advantage over Jake Irvin that should carry the Cubs to a comfortable home victory."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +21.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHC -1.5
Edge: -4.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 13.0
Edge: +7.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +200 | -250 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +216 | -242 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +101 (-1.5) | -121 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +200 | -250 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -103/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -110 (-1.5) | -113 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +206 | -240 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +215 | -265 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +210 | -260 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +209 | -259 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +205 | -250 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +104 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +205 | -255 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +216 | -242 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -114/U -101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +104 (-1.5) | -118 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +207 | -250 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -103 (-1.5) | -118 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.