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Final 0-5
Fenway Park
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Shane Drohan
0
@
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Sonny Gray
5
2026-04-08 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +3.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Sonny Gray's rough 2026 start (6.75 ERA) facing Milwaukee's high-powered offense (6.67 R/G, .815 OPS) is the decisive matchup edge for the Brewers."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -25.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Sonny Gray's rough 2026 start (6.75 ERA) facing Milwaukee's high-powered offense (6.67 R/G, .815 OPS) is the decisive matchup edge for the Brewers."
over under
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Sonny Gray's rough 2026 start (6.75 ERA) facing Milwaukee's high-powered offense (6.67 R/G, .815 OPS) is the decisive matchup edge for the Brewers."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +32.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant pitching matchup advantage combined with Boston's anemic offense and poor home performance makes the Brewers heavy favorites."
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -21.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant pitching matchup advantage combined with Boston's anemic offense and poor home performance makes the Brewers heavy favorites."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's dominant pitching matchup advantage combined with Boston's anemic offense and poor home performance makes the Brewers heavy favorites."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: -4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS -1.5
Edge: +8.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +114 | -141 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -124) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +115 | -138 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +119 | -143 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +120 | -142 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -116/U 101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +120 | -141 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -194 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.