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Final 6-9
Chase Field
DET
Detroit Tigers
Justin Verlander
6
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Michael Soroka
9
2026-03-31 · 02:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +5.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Justin Verlander's elite career credentials and Detroit's superior early-season pitching give the Tigers the edge in what should be a closely contested, low-scoring game."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Justin Verlander's elite career credentials and Detroit's superior early-season pitching give the Tigers the edge in what should be a closely contested, low-scoring game."
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: +2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Justin Verlander's elite career credentials and Detroit's superior early-season pitching give the Tigers the edge in what should be a closely contested, low-scoring game."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: +9.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET +1.5
Edge: -10.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.0
Edge: +20.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -185 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -107 | -103 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -109 | -114 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -112/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +105 | -115 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +102 | -122 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +151 (+1.5) | -183 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -104 | -112 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -184 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -107 | -103 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +100 | -118 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +148 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.