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Final 3-4 Rogers Centre
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani
3
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Dylan Cease
4
2026-04-08 · 19:07 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (away)
run line 2 of 3 agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +9.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"The matchup between a red-hot Dylan Cease (1.69 ERA, 21.18 K/9) and a heavily injured, offensively struggling Blue Jays squad versus a dominant Dodgers lineup is the central dynamic, with LAD's superior run support and road success giving them the edge."

run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: +10.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"The matchup between a red-hot Dylan Cease (1.69 ERA, 21.18 K/9) and a heavily injured, offensively struggling Blue Jays squad versus a dominant Dodgers lineup is the central dynamic, with LAD's superior run support and road success giving them the edge."

over under 37% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"The matchup between a red-hot Dylan Cease (1.69 ERA, 21.18 K/9) and a heavily injured, offensively struggling Blue Jays squad versus a dominant Dodgers lineup is the central dynamic, with LAD's superior run support and road success giving them the edge."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +16.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"LAD's superior pitching matchup (Ohtani vs Cease) combined with TOR's 0-3 road record and injury-plagued lineup makes the visiting Dodgers strong favorites."

run line 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +20.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"LAD's superior pitching matchup (Ohtani vs Cease) combined with TOR's 0-3 road record and injury-plagued lineup makes the visiting Dodgers strong favorites."

over under 61% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"LAD's superior pitching matchup (Ohtani vs Cease) combined with TOR's 0-3 road record and injury-plagued lineup makes the visiting Dodgers strong favorites."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 47% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: -26.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR -1.5
Edge: -30.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +190 -250
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
BetMGM run line +375 (+1.5) -550 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -146 +132
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -111/U -109)
BetOnline.ag run line +112 (+1.5) -132 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +210 -315
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O 114/U -167)
BetRivers run line +320 (+1.0) -835 (-1.0)
BetUS moneyline -146 +131
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetUS run line +105 (+1.5) -125 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline +290 -435
Bovada over under 7.5 (O 190/U -260)
Bovada run line +105 (+1.5) -125 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline +160 -200
Caesars over under 8.5 (O 100/U -130)
Caesars run line +350 (+1.5) -500 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +192 -260
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O 121/U -158)
DraftKings run line +355 (+1.5) -542 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +210 -280
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O 120/U -160)
FanDuel run line +105 (+1.5) -126 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +160 -215
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
Fanatics run line +320 (+1.5) -475 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -146 +132
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O -108/U -106)
LowVig.ag run line +115 (+1.5) -130 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -152 +128
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -111/U -110)
MyBookie.ag run line +550 (+1.5) -1250 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.