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Final 13-6
Nationals Park
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Emmet Sheehan
13
@
WSN
Washington Nationals
Miles Mikolas
6
2026-04-03 · 17:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -44.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The lack of starting pitcher data creates major uncertainty, but WSN's high-scoring offense (6.33 R/G) at home against LAD's strong but road-untested pitching staff is the central matchup question."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -24.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The lack of starting pitcher data creates major uncertainty, but WSN's high-scoring offense (6.33 R/G) at home against LAD's strong but road-untested pitching staff is the central matchup question."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The lack of starting pitcher data creates major uncertainty, but WSN's high-scoring offense (6.33 R/G) at home against LAD's strong but road-untested pitching staff is the central matchup question."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +20.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN -1.5
Edge: -1.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -275 | +220 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -110 (+2.5) | -110 (-2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -260 | +231 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -130/U 110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -168 (+1.5) | +148 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -275 | +210 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -162 (+1.5) | +130 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -270 | +230 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -165 (+1.5) | +144 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -300 | +240 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -180 (+1.5) | +155 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -278 | +222 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (+1.5) | +143 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -271 | +218 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -126/U 104) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -175 (+1.5) | +144 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -295 | +240 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -184 (+1.5) | +152 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -285 | +230 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (+1.5) | +140 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -260 | +231 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -128/U 112) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -168 (+1.5) | +149 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -286 | +234 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -116/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -118 (+2.5) | -104 (-2.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.