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Scheduled
Great American Ball Park
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Tyler Mahle
0
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Rhett Lowder
0
2026-04-15 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's dominant 1.64 ERA versus Tyler Mahle's struggling 7.00 ERA creates a significant pitching advantage for Cincinnati at home."
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -24.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's dominant 1.64 ERA versus Tyler Mahle's struggling 7.00 ERA creates a significant pitching advantage for Cincinnati at home."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's dominant 1.64 ERA versus Tyler Mahle's struggling 7.00 ERA creates a significant pitching advantage for Cincinnati at home."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's elite pitching (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) against Tyler Mahle's struggles (7.0 ERA, 1.78 WHIP) creates a dominant matchup advantage for Cincinnati at home."
run line
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -33.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's elite pitching (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) against Tyler Mahle's struggles (7.0 ERA, 1.78 WHIP) creates a dominant matchup advantage for Cincinnati at home."
over under
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rhett Lowder's elite pitching (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) against Tyler Mahle's struggles (7.0 ERA, 1.78 WHIP) creates a dominant matchup advantage for Cincinnati at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN
Edge: -7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN -1.5
Edge: -23.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -107 | -103 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -115 | -107 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +148 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -112 | -108 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -110 | -106 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -106/U -114) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +134 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -107 | -103 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +151 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -110 | -106 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -101/U -120) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +138 (+1.5) | -169 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.