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Scheduled
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
NYM
New York Mets
Clay Holmes
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani
2026-04-16 · 02:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -18.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's elite 2026 season (0.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes this a massive mismatch against the struggling Mets."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -12.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's elite 2026 season (0.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes this a massive mismatch against the struggling Mets."
over under
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's elite 2026 season (0.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes this a massive mismatch against the struggling Mets."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -27.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's early season dominance and LAD's superior offensive production create a strong home advantage over a struggling Mets lineup."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -19.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's early season dominance and LAD's superior offensive production create a strong home advantage over a struggling Mets lineup."
over under
24%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Shohei Ohtani's early season dominance and LAD's superior offensive production create a strong home advantage over a struggling Mets lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: -16.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +171 | -190 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -128 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +175 | -225 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -127 (-1.5) | +102 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +166 | -190 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +168 | -206 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +162 | -195 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +163 | -199 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +176 | -210 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -114) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -118 (-1.5) | -102 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +171 | -190 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +111 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +168 | -200 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -127 (-1.5) | +103 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.