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Final 9-3
Petco Park
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Logan Webb
9
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Germán Márquez
3
2026-04-01 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +9.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's near-historically bad early-season offense (0.33 R/G, .143 BA) makes them heavy underdogs even against an uncertain Padres pitching staff at pitcher-friendly Petco Park."
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -15.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's near-historically bad early-season offense (0.33 R/G, .143 BA) makes them heavy underdogs even against an uncertain Padres pitching staff at pitcher-friendly Petco Park."
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's near-historically bad early-season offense (0.33 R/G, .143 BA) makes them heavy underdogs even against an uncertain Padres pitching staff at pitcher-friendly Petco Park."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
84%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Edge: +38.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
90%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP -1.5
Edge: +30.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 2.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -135 | +110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -148 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -143 | +115 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -152 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -129 | +118 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -135 | +113 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +123 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O 102/U -122) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +132 | -156 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -176 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -140 | +115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -147 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -141 | +120 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -116/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.