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Final 5-6
Citizens Bank Park
WSN
Washington Nationals
Cade Cavalli
5
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez
6
2026-04-01 · 17:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +21.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cristopher Sanchez's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.50 WHIP) is countered by Philadelphia's historically poor offense this season (.189 BA, 3.5 R/G), making this a close game despite the pitching edge."
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cristopher Sanchez's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.50 WHIP) is countered by Philadelphia's historically poor offense this season (.189 BA, 3.5 R/G), making this a close game despite the pitching edge."
over under
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cristopher Sanchez's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.50 WHIP) is countered by Philadelphia's historically poor offense this season (.189 BA, 3.5 R/G), making this a close game despite the pitching edge."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
95%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +64.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
94%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN +1.5
Edge: +46.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
88%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
PUSH
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +220 | -275 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +230 | -258 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -101 (-1.5) | -119 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +215 | -278 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -107 (-1.5) | -117 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +230 | -270 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +225 | -280 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +228 | -285 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +228 | -285 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +114 (-1.5) | -137 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +225 | -275 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +112 (-1.5) | -134 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +220 | -275 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +230 | -258 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -116 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +230 | -278 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.