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Final 4-0 Citi Field
OAK
Oakland Athletics
J.T. Ginn
4
@
NYM
New York Mets
Clay Holmes
0
2026-04-10 · 23:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Clay Holmes's dominant 1.42 ERA start to 2026 against an Oakland offense that is batting .226 with a 32.5% strikeout rate on the road makes NYM a strong favorite at home."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Clay Holmes's dominant 1.42 ERA start to 2026 against an Oakland offense that is batting .226 with a 32.5% strikeout rate on the road makes NYM a strong favorite at home."

over under 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Clay Holmes's dominant 1.42 ERA start to 2026 against an Oakland offense that is batting .226 with a 32.5% strikeout rate on the road makes NYM a strong favorite at home."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Clay Holmes' dominant 2026 form (1.42 ERA, 2-0 record) combined with OAK's weak offense (.226 BA) heavily favors the home Mets."

run line 58% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Clay Holmes' dominant 2026 form (1.42 ERA, 2-0 record) combined with OAK's weak offense (.226 BA) heavily favors the home Mets."

over under 65% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Clay Holmes' dominant 2026 form (1.42 ERA, 2-0 record) combined with OAK's weak offense (.226 BA) heavily favors the home Mets."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 47% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 33% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.