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Final 2-3
Great American Ball Park
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Connelly Early
2
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Rhett Lowder
3
2026-03-29 · 17:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Connelly Early's elite strikeout rate (13.66 K/9 career) gives BOS a pitching edge over a CIN lineup that is batting just .189 through two games, though Lowder's 1.17 career ERA keeps this competitive."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +17.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Connelly Early's elite strikeout rate (13.66 K/9 career) gives BOS a pitching edge over a CIN lineup that is batting just .189 through two games, though Lowder's 1.17 career ERA keeps this competitive."
over under
57%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: +1.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Connelly Early's elite strikeout rate (13.66 K/9 career) gives BOS a pitching edge over a CIN lineup that is batting just .189 through two games, though Lowder's 1.17 career ERA keeps this competitive."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
61%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN
Edge: +14.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN -1.5
Edge: +0.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.0
Edge: -3.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -140 | +118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -129 | +117 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -150 | +118 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -114/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +112 (+1.5) | -139 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -131 | +119 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -135 | +113 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -135 | +115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -130 | +108 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +124 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -136 | +116 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -146 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -140 | +115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -129 | +117 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -132 | +112 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +117 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.