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Final 5-3
Rate Field
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Kyle Bradish
5
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Sean Burke
3
2026-04-08 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -14.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kyle Bradish's superior career and in-season metrics compared to Sean Burke's struggling 6.75 ERA and 2.0 WHIP give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge in this matchup."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -7.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kyle Bradish's superior career and in-season metrics compared to Sean Burke's struggling 6.75 ERA and 2.0 WHIP give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge in this matchup."
over under
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kyle Bradish's superior career and in-season metrics compared to Sean Burke's struggling 6.75 ERA and 2.0 WHIP give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge in this matchup."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -1.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"CHW's perfect home record (3-0) against BAL's winless road record (0-3) creates significant home-field advantage."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -15.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"CHW's perfect home record (3-0) against BAL's winless road record (0-3) creates significant home-field advantage."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"CHW's perfect home record (3-0) against BAL's winless road record (0-3) creates significant home-field advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL
Edge: -7.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHW -1.5
Edge: -25.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -150 | +125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -139 | +126 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -159 | +128 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -140 | +126 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -149 | +125 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -145 | +122 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -149 | +123 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -152 | +128 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -137 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -145 | +120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -139 | +126 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -138 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -149 | +126 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -109/U -112) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.