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Scheduled Chase Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson
2026-04-19 · 20:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Kevin Gausman's elite 2026 performance (2.42 ERA, 12.62 K/9) is the biggest wildcard — if he continues his dominant form, he keeps TOR in this game despite their road struggles."

run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Kevin Gausman's elite 2026 performance (2.42 ERA, 12.62 K/9) is the biggest wildcard — if he continues his dominant form, he keeps TOR in this game despite their road struggles."

over under 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Kevin Gausman's elite 2026 performance (2.42 ERA, 12.62 K/9) is the biggest wildcard — if he continues his dominant form, he keeps TOR in this game despite their road struggles."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Arizona's dominant home record (6-2) and significantly superior away record (1-6) for Toronto create a clear home field advantage in this early-season matchup."

run line 33% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Arizona's dominant home record (6-2) and significantly superior away record (1-6) for Toronto create a clear home field advantage in this early-season matchup."

over under 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Arizona's dominant home record (6-2) and significantly superior away record (1-6) for Toronto create a clear home field advantage in this early-season matchup."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ARI -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.