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Final 2-1
Globe Life Field
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
2
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jack Leiter
1
2026-04-05 · 18:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -13.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jack Leiter's dramatic improvement in command (1.5 BB/9 vs 3.96 career) paired with Texas's strong offense gives the Rangers a meaningful edge in this matchup."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -25.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jack Leiter's dramatic improvement in command (1.5 BB/9 vs 3.96 career) paired with Texas's strong offense gives the Rangers a meaningful edge in this matchup."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Jack Leiter's dramatic improvement in command (1.5 BB/9 vs 3.96 career) paired with Texas's strong offense gives the Rangers a meaningful edge in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN
Edge: -5.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX -1.5
Edge: -33.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -220 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +106 | -117 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +167 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -103 | -121 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -103/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -220 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +107 | -117 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -132 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -201 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +104 | -122 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -106/U -114) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +172 (+1.5) | -210 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +106 | -117 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +106 | -125 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -213 (-1.5) | +169 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.