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Final 8-6
Nationals Park
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Roki Sasaki
8
@
WSN
Washington Nationals
Foster Griffin
6
2026-04-05 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +30.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant team pitching staff (3.29 ERA) against WSN's struggling rotation and bullpen (5.46 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) is the decisive advantage in this matchup."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -12.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant team pitching staff (3.29 ERA) against WSN's struggling rotation and bullpen (5.46 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) is the decisive advantage in this matchup."
over under
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"LAD's dominant team pitching staff (3.29 ERA) against WSN's struggling rotation and bullpen (5.46 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) is the decisive advantage in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: +34.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN -1.5
Edge: -19.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
66%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +800 | -1600 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.5 (O 140/U -185) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +105 (-2.5) | -135 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -166 | +150 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 101/U -121) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +650 | -1667 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.0 (O -118/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +125 (-2.5) | -175 (+2.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -166 | +147 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +650 | -1200 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.0 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +115 (-2.5) | -150 (+2.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +700 | -1300 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.5 (O 125/U -160) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +125 (-2.5) | -160 (+2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +630 | -1280 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -167/U 128) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +117 (-2.5) | -152 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +630 | -1200 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -162/U 122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +122 (-2.5) | -162 (+2.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +660 | -1200 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 10.5 (O 130/U -170) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +115 (-2.5) | -150 (+2.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -166 | +150 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 104/U -119) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -107 (+1.5) | -107 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -172 | +147 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -114 (+1.5) | -108 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.