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Final 6-8
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Bailey Ober
6
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz
8
2026-03-29 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -2.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Both pitchers have yet to post 2026 season stats, so career profiles dominate the outlook — Ober's superior control vs. Baz's higher walk rate in a low-scoring early-season environment at Camden Yards."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -0.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Both pitchers have yet to post 2026 season stats, so career profiles dominate the outlook — Ober's superior control vs. Baz's higher walk rate in a low-scoring early-season environment at Camden Yards."
over under
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: +6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Both pitchers have yet to post 2026 season stats, so career profiles dominate the outlook — Ober's superior control vs. Baz's higher walk rate in a low-scoring early-season environment at Camden Yards."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL
Edge: +1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
76%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL -1.5
Edge: +33.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
74%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 4.0
Edge: +22.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +137 | -151 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -154 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +125 | -155 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +136 | -152 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +134 | -160 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +135 | -163 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O 102/U -122) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +130 | -154 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -164 (-1.5) | +136 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +137 | -151 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -153 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +136 | -161 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -147 (-1.5) | +119 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.