Back to Schedule
Final 3-8
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TEX
Texas Rangers
Nathan Eovaldi
3
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Trevor Rogers
8
2026-04-01 · 16:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +11.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Texas's superior pitching staff (2.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) versus Baltimore's struggling offense (3.25 RPG, .636 OPS) gives the Rangers an edge, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Texas's superior pitching staff (2.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) versus Baltimore's struggling offense (3.25 RPG, .636 OPS) gives the Rangers an edge, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Texas's superior pitching staff (2.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) versus Baltimore's struggling offense (3.25 RPG, .636 OPS) gives the Rangers an edge, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: +18.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL -1.5
Edge: -0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
82%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +165 | -210 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -135) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +148 | -205 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -129/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -103 (-1.0) | -136 (+1.0) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +115 | -150 | |
| Bovada | over under | 6.5 (O -125/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.0) | +105 (+1.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +125 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 6.5 (O -125/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +187 | -252 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -107 (-1.5) | -121 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +146 | -188 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O 106/U -140) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -158 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +175 | -235 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -120 (-1.5) | -110 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +120 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -133) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.