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Final 7-8
Angel Stadium
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Luis Castillo
7
@
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
George Klassen
8
2026-04-05 · 20:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -18.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching disparity — Castillo's elite 2026 performance vs. Ryan Johnson's historically poor 16.2 ERA and 11.61 BB/9 — makes Seattle a strong favorite in this matchup."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -9.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching disparity — Castillo's elite 2026 performance vs. Ryan Johnson's historically poor 16.2 ERA and 11.61 BB/9 — makes Seattle a strong favorite in this matchup."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching disparity — Castillo's elite 2026 performance vs. Ryan Johnson's historically poor 16.2 ERA and 11.61 BB/9 — makes Seattle a strong favorite in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: -17.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA +1.5
Edge: -5.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
64%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +195 | -250 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.5 (O -150/U 115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -125 (-1.5) | -102 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -163 | +147 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -278 | +188 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 13.5 (O -122/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -117 (+1.5) | -118 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -165 | +146 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +230 | -325 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +195 | -250 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.5 (O -145/U 115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | -105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -257 | +176 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 13.5 (O -117/U -111) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -114 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -210 | +162 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 13.5 (O -110/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +104 (+1.5) | -138 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +240 | -340 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 10.5 (O -130/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -163 | +147 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U 100) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -102 (+1.5) | -112 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +235 | -333 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 10.5 (O -125/U -111) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.