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Final 2-8
Yankee Stadium
MIA
Miami Marlins
Eury Pérez
2
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Will Warren
8
2026-04-03 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Will Warren's alarming walk rate (4.39 BB/9) and high WHIP (1.62) against a Miami offense hitting .290 with an .847 OPS creates significant vulnerability for the heavily favored Yankees."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -25.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Will Warren's alarming walk rate (4.39 BB/9) and high WHIP (1.62) against a Miami offense hitting .290 with an .847 OPS creates significant vulnerability for the heavily favored Yankees."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Will Warren's alarming walk rate (4.39 BB/9) and high WHIP (1.62) against a Miami offense hitting .290 with an .847 OPS creates significant vulnerability for the heavily favored Yankees."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Edge: -0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Edge: -1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +154 | -170 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -159 (-1.5) | +139 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +128 | -159 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +134 | -150 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +136 | -162 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +150 | -178 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +149 | -181 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O 113/U -136) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -163 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +158 | -188 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +154 | -170 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 117/U -134) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -158 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +130 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -164 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.