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Final 7-2 Angel Stadium
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Reynaldo López
7
@
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Yusei Kikuchi
2
2026-04-08 · 01:38 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under 2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"The massive pitching mismatch — López's 1.64 ERA and 0.91 WHIP versus Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA and 1.97 WHIP — makes ATL strong favorites, though Kikuchi's high walk rate could shorten his outing and open the door for LAA's bullpen."

run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -4.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"The massive pitching mismatch — López's 1.64 ERA and 0.91 WHIP versus Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA and 1.97 WHIP — makes ATL strong favorites, though Kikuchi's high walk rate could shorten his outing and open the door for LAA's bullpen."

over under 37% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: -14.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"The massive pitching mismatch — López's 1.64 ERA and 0.91 WHIP versus Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA and 1.97 WHIP — makes ATL strong favorites, though Kikuchi's high walk rate could shorten his outing and open the door for LAA's bullpen."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Reynaldo López's elite 1.64 ERA and strong command against Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA makes Atlanta the clear pitching advantage in an early-season matchup."

run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -4.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Reynaldo López's elite 1.64 ERA and strong command against Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA makes Atlanta the clear pitching advantage in an early-season matchup."

over under 68% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: +16.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Reynaldo López's elite 1.64 ERA and strong command against Kikuchi's 6.52 ERA makes Atlanta the clear pitching advantage in an early-season matchup."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -10.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Edge: -5.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 37% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Edge: -16.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. PUSH

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -135 +115
BetMGM over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetMGM run line +118 (+1.5) -140 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -122 +111
BetOnline.ag over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetOnline.ag run line +130 (+1.5) -150 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -132 +107
BetRivers over under 8.5 (O -122/U -103)
BetRivers run line +128 (+1.5) -159 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -122 +111
BetUS over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetUS run line +125 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -134 +112
Bovada over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
Bovada run line +125 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -130 +110
Caesars over under 8.0 (O -130/U 110)
Caesars run line +130 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -131 +109
DraftKings over under 8.0 (O -131/U 109)
DraftKings run line +123 (+1.5) -149 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -118 +100
FanDuel over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
FanDuel run line +142 (+1.5) -172 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -125 +105
Fanatics over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
Fanatics run line +120 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -122 +111
LowVig.ag over under 8.5 (O -107/U -107)
LowVig.ag run line +132 (+1.5) -149 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -130 +110
MyBookie.ag over under 8.5 (O -116/U -105)
MyBookie.ag run line +126 (+1.5) -154 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.