Back to Schedule
Final 0-1
Chase Field
DET
Detroit Tigers
Tarik Skubal
0
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Zac Gallen
1
2026-04-01 · 19:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +30.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Zac Gallen's alarming early-season struggles (9.00 ERA, 4.5 BB/9) are the central factor, though Arizona's home field advantage and his strong career baseline offer some upside for the Diamondbacks."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +44.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Zac Gallen's alarming early-season struggles (9.00 ERA, 4.5 BB/9) are the central factor, though Arizona's home field advantage and his strong career baseline offer some upside for the Diamondbacks."
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Zac Gallen's alarming early-season struggles (9.00 ERA, 4.5 BB/9) are the central factor, though Arizona's home field advantage and his strong career baseline offer some upside for the Diamondbacks."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: +24.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
84%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET +1.5
Edge: +76.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
88%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +725 | -1400 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +1500 (+1.5) | -10000 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -149 | +135 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -133 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +650 | -1667 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +102 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -155 | +138 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +700 | -1400 | |
| Bovada | over under | 1.5 (O 375/U -600) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +550 | -900 | |
| Caesars | over under | 2.5 (O 290/U -400) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +600 | -1180 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 1.5 (O 320/U -475) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +1180 (+1.5) | -7100 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +600 | -1100 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +530 | -900 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -149 | +135 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -109/U -105) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +116 (+1.5) | -131 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +400 | -625 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 2.0 (O 230/U -333) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +700 (+1.5) | -2000 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.