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TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Jesse Scholtens
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Sean Burke
2026-04-15 · 23:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically bad offense (.192 BA, 31.8% strikeout rate, 2.87 runs/game) makes it very difficult to compete against a Rays team coming off a series sweep of the Yankees."

run line 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically bad offense (.192 BA, 31.8% strikeout rate, 2.87 runs/game) makes it very difficult to compete against a Rays team coming off a series sweep of the Yankees."

over under 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically bad offense (.192 BA, 31.8% strikeout rate, 2.87 runs/game) makes it very difficult to compete against a Rays team coming off a series sweep of the Yankees."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's anemic offense (0.192 BA, 2.87 RPG) cannot keep pace with Tampa Bay's superior batting profile."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -12.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's anemic offense (0.192 BA, 2.87 RPG) cannot keep pace with Tampa Bay's superior batting profile."

over under 25% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's anemic offense (0.192 BA, 2.87 RPG) cannot keep pace with Tampa Bay's superior batting profile."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR
Edge: -13.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 37% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR +1.5
Edge: -3.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -120 +100
BetMGM over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetMGM run line +145 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -105 -105
BetOnline.ag over under 8.5 (O -104/U -116)
BetOnline.ag run line +153 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -115 -108
BetRivers over under 8.0 (O -117/U -107)
BetRivers run line +150 (+1.5) -186 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -107 -103
BetUS over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetUS run line +152 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -113 -107
Bovada over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
Bovada run line +150 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -115 -105
Caesars over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
Caesars run line +143 (+1.5) -170 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -115 -105
DraftKings over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
DraftKings run line +144 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -116 -102
FanDuel over under 8.5 (O -102/U -120)
FanDuel run line +146 (+1.5) -178 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -115 -105
Fanatics over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
Fanatics run line +150 (+1.5) -180 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -105 -105
LowVig.ag over under 8.5 (O -101/U -114)
LowVig.ag run line +154 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -114 -103
MyBookie.ag over under 8.5 (O -106/U -115)
MyBookie.ag run line +140 (+1.5) -172 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.