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Final 4-2
Progressive Field
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Michael Wacha
4
@
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Tanner Bibee
2
2026-04-06 · 22:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -9.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cleveland's superior pitching metrics (3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 10.67 K/9) give them a meaningful edge at home despite their weak offense."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +2.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cleveland's superior pitching metrics (3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 10.67 K/9) give them a meaningful edge at home despite their weak offense."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cleveland's superior pitching metrics (3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 10.67 K/9) give them a meaningful edge at home despite their weak offense."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CLE
Edge: -10.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CLE -1.5
Edge: +10.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +100 | -110 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +183 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +100 | -125 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O 104/U -129) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +180 (+1.5) | -235 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +100 | -110 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +184 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +101 | -121 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -205 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +163 (+1.5) | -199 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -106 | -110 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +180 (+1.5) | -220 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +100 | -110 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -213 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -101 | -116 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -119/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +168 (+1.5) | -208 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.