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Final 1-4
Petco Park
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
1
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Michael King
4
2026-04-15 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -8.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Seattle's historically weak offense (.193 BA, 1-5 away record) facing Michael King at pitcher-friendly Petco Park heavily favors San Diego."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -31.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Seattle's historically weak offense (.193 BA, 1-5 away record) facing Michael King at pitcher-friendly Petco Park heavily favors San Diego."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Seattle's historically weak offense (.193 BA, 1-5 away record) facing Michael King at pitcher-friendly Petco Park heavily favors San Diego."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +8.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Diego's superior team record and offensive metrics against Seattle's historically poor away performance creates a clear home advantage."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -20.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Diego's superior team record and offensive metrics against Seattle's historically poor away performance creates a clear home advantage."
over under
26%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Diego's superior team record and offensive metrics against Seattle's historically poor away performance creates a clear home advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Edge: -4.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP -1.5
Edge: -3.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -130 | +105 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -125/U 100) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -114 | +104 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -121 | +101 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -112 | -108 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +153 (+1.5) | -186 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -104 | -112 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O 102/U -124) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -194 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -120 | +103 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -119/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -172 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.