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Final 0-4
Comerica Park
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Michael McGreevy
0
@
DET
Detroit Tigers
Framber Valdez
4
2026-04-03 · 17:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -31.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's veteran ace status and strong early 2026 performance gives Detroit a significant starting pitching edge, but DET's historically weak offense limits their margin of victory."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -22.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's veteran ace status and strong early 2026 performance gives Detroit a significant starting pitching edge, but DET's historically weak offense limits their margin of victory."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: -16.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's veteran ace status and strong early 2026 performance gives Detroit a significant starting pitching edge, but DET's historically weak offense limits their margin of victory."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL
Edge: +13.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET -1.5
Edge: -5.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: -4.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +140 | -155 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -190 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -148 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +154 | -175 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +151 | -183 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +135 | -163 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O 113/U -136) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +132 | -156 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -166 (-1.5) | +138 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +135 | -165 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +140 | -155 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 117/U -134) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +154 | -182 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -109/U -112) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +111 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.