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Final 6-9
Nationals Park
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Andre Pallante
6
@
WSN
Washington Nationals
Zack Littell
9
2026-04-06 · 22:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The absence of a named Washington starter creates significant pitching uncertainty, potentially opening the door for a high-scoring game despite STL's road struggles."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The absence of a named Washington starter creates significant pitching uncertainty, potentially opening the door for a high-scoring game despite STL's road struggles."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The absence of a named Washington starter creates significant pitching uncertainty, potentially opening the door for a high-scoring game despite STL's road struggles."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL
Edge: -6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL +1.5
Edge: -7.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -185 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 110/U -130) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -117 | -107 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +148 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -114 | -106 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +158 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -108 | -112 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +149 (+1.5) | -181 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -110 | -106 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -188 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +151 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -115 | -102 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -119/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.