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Final 4-1
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Gavin Williams
4
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
2026-04-02 · 00:20 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -38.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's dominance on the mound against a struggling Cleveland offense with a high strikeout rate is the decisive edge for the Dodgers."
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -7.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's dominance on the mound against a struggling Cleveland offense with a high strikeout rate is the decisive edge for the Dodgers."
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's dominance on the mound against a struggling Cleveland offense with a high strikeout rate is the decisive edge for the Dodgers."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: +14.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
95%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: +40.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +220 | -275 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +240 | -270 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -116) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +215 | -278 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -127 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +230 | -270 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +230 | -290 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +110 (-1.5) | -130 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +228 | -285 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +229 | -286 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +104 (-1.5) | -126 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +220 | -270 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +225 | -280 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +240 | -270 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -101/U -114) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +108 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +229 | -278 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -124 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.