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Final 2-6 Angel Stadium
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Chris Sale
2
@
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
José Soriano
6
2026-04-07 · 01:38 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 2 models agree (away)
run line 1 of 2 agree (away)
over under 1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -15.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (1.46 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) faces an Angels lineup with a 34.5% strikeout rate and .192 batting average, giving the Braves a significant edge."

run line 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -8.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (1.46 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) faces an Angels lineup with a 34.5% strikeout rate and .192 batting average, giving the Braves a significant edge."

over under 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (1.46 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) faces an Angels lineup with a 34.5% strikeout rate and .192 batting average, giving the Braves a significant edge."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -21.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA -1.5
Edge: -11.1% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -175 +145
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetMGM run line -102 (+1.5) -118 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -127 +115
BetOnline.ag over under 8.5 (O -122/U 102)
BetOnline.ag run line -105 (+1.5) -115 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -177 +140
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -112/U -110)
BetRivers run line +100 (+1.5) -124 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -168 +149
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetUS run line -105 (+1.5) -115 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -180 +148
Bovada over under 8.0 (O 100/U -120)
Bovada run line -105 (+1.5) -115 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -135 +115
Caesars over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
Caesars run line +122 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -136 +113
DraftKings over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
DraftKings run line +119 (+1.5) -143 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -126 +108
FanDuel over under 8.5 (O -115/U -105)
FanDuel run line +132 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -175 +145
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
Fanatics run line -105 (+1.5) -115 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -127 +115
LowVig.ag over under 8.5 (O -120/U 105)
LowVig.ag run line -102 (+1.5) -112 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -179 +149
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -120/U -101)
MyBookie.ag run line -102 (+1.5) -119 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.