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Final 7-3
American Family Field
WSN
Washington Nationals
Jake Irvin
7
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Aaron Ashby
3
2026-04-10 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -24.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The stark pitching disparity between Chad Patrick's dominant 0.96 ERA and Jake Irvin's struggling 8.00 ERA this season heavily favors Milwaukee at home."
run line
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -22.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The stark pitching disparity between Chad Patrick's dominant 0.96 ERA and Jake Irvin's struggling 8.00 ERA this season heavily favors Milwaukee at home."
over under
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The stark pitching disparity between Chad Patrick's dominant 0.96 ERA and Jake Irvin's struggling 8.00 ERA this season heavily favors Milwaukee at home."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -22.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chad Patrick's elite 0.96 ERA combined with Milwaukee's dominant home record (5-1) and Washington's road struggles (1-5) create a strong home advantage."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +6.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chad Patrick's elite 0.96 ERA combined with Milwaukee's dominant home record (5-1) and Washington's road struggles (1-5) create a strong home advantage."
over under
63%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chad Patrick's elite 0.96 ERA combined with Milwaukee's dominant home record (5-1) and Washington's road struggles (1-5) create a strong home advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN +1.5
Edge: -16.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 12.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +170 | -210 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +139 | -154 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -115 (-1.5) | -105 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +180 | -230 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -127 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +172 | -197 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -115 (-1.5) | -105 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +169 | -208 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +140 | -165 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -115 (-1.5) | -105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +139 | -168 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +142 | -168 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +135 | -165 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +139 | -154 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -112 (-1.5) | -102 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +172 | -204 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -116) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -119 (-1.5) | -102 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.