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Final 5-1
Kauffman Stadium
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Taj Bradley
5
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Cole Ragans
1
2026-04-02 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +2.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cole Ragans' alarming 9.0 BB/9 and 9.0 ERA to start 2026 is the biggest red flag, but his strong career baseline and both teams' anemic offenses keep Kansas City in play at home."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -27.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cole Ragans' alarming 9.0 BB/9 and 9.0 ERA to start 2026 is the biggest red flag, but his strong career baseline and both teams' anemic offenses keep Kansas City in play at home."
over under
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cole Ragans' alarming 9.0 BB/9 and 9.0 ERA to start 2026 is the biggest red flag, but his strong career baseline and both teams' anemic offenses keep Kansas City in play at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -16.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: +3.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
75%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 5.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +134 | -148 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -151 (-1.5) | +131 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +128 | -159 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -141 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +133 | -148 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +129 | -156 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -149 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +134 | -158 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +134 | -148 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -116/U 101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +129 | -152 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +124 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.