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Final 11-6 Citi Field
OAK
Oakland Athletics
Jacob Lopez
11
@
NYM
New York Mets
Kodai Senga
6
2026-04-11 · 20:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Kodai Senga's elite stuff against Jacob Lopez's alarming loss of command (11.25 BB/9) creates one of the sharpest pitching mismatches of the early season."

run line 33% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Kodai Senga's elite stuff against Jacob Lopez's alarming loss of command (11.25 BB/9) creates one of the sharpest pitching mismatches of the early season."

over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Kodai Senga's elite stuff against Jacob Lopez's alarming loss of command (11.25 BB/9) creates one of the sharpest pitching mismatches of the early season."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Pitching matchup heavily favors NYM with Senga's elite strikeout rate and control against Lopez's high walk rate and poor early-season performance."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Pitching matchup heavily favors NYM with Senga's elite strikeout rate and control against Lopez's high walk rate and poor early-season performance."

over under 59% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Pitching matchup heavily favors NYM with Senga's elite strikeout rate and control against Lopez's high walk rate and poor early-season performance."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.