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Final 14-2
Rogers Centre
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Justin Wrobleski
14
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Max Scherzer
2
2026-04-06 · 23:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -12.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The massive pitching quality gap — Scherzer's dominant early-season form vs. Wrobleski's struggles — is offset by LAD's historically powerful lineup featuring Ohtani and Tucker."
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The massive pitching quality gap — Scherzer's dominant early-season form vs. Wrobleski's struggles — is offset by LAD's historically powerful lineup featuring Ohtani and Tucker."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: -17.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching quality gap — Scherzer's dominant early-season form vs. Wrobleski's struggles — is offset by LAD's historically powerful lineup featuring Ohtani and Tucker."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: +4.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR -1.5
Edge: -22.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Edge: +1.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -135 | +110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -155 | +140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -148 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -137 | +112 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -124) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -152 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -123 | +112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -130 | +108 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -156 | +129 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -154 | +130 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -142 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -155 | +140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -147 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -116) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +121 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.