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Final 6-7
Kauffman Stadium
SDP
San Diego Padres
Michael King
6
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo
7
2026-07-18 · 00:10 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
54%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
KCR
Edge: +4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
WON
run line
37%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
KCR -1.5
Edge: -23.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
over under
48%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 8.0
Edge: -3.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -117 | +104 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -159 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| BetUS | over under | 10.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -123 | +103 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -126 | +104 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 10.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +124 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -120 | +102 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 10.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -116/U 101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +127 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -122 | +104 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -117/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +126 (+1.5) | -148 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.