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Final 4-5
Rate Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Dylan Cease
4
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Grant Taylor
5
2026-04-02 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -15.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
"Dylan Cease's early-season dominance against a White Sox offense with a 40.5% strikeout rate and .677 OPS is the decisive matchup advantage for Toronto."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
"Dylan Cease's early-season dominance against a White Sox offense with a 40.5% strikeout rate and .677 OPS is the decisive matchup advantage for Toronto."
over under
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Edge: -10.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
"Dylan Cease's early-season dominance against a White Sox offense with a 40.5% strikeout rate and .677 OPS is the decisive matchup advantage for Toronto."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: -13.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
run line
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR +1.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
over under
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Edge: +10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
VOID
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -200 | +165 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -200 | +180 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | moneyline | -205 | +170 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -120 (+1.5) | +100 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -207 | +169 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -118 (+1.5) | -102 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -200 | +168 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -134 (+1.5) | +112 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -205 | +170 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -120 (+1.5) | +100 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -200 | +180 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 103/U -118) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.