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Scheduled Great American Ball Park
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Landen Roupp
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
2026-04-16 · 16:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' elite 2026 performance (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage over a struggling Giants offense."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' elite 2026 performance (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage over a struggling Giants offense."

over under 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' elite 2026 performance (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage over a struggling Giants offense."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' exceptional early-season form (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) provides decisive pitching advantage over Landen Roupp's underperforming 4.22 ERA."

run line 25% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' exceptional early-season form (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) provides decisive pitching advantage over Landen Roupp's underperforming 4.22 ERA."

over under 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chase Burns' exceptional early-season form (0.82 ERA, 13.09 K/9) provides decisive pitching advantage over Landen Roupp's underperforming 4.22 ERA."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CIN -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 56% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.