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Final 3-2
Petco Park
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Landen Roupp
3
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Walker Buehler
2
2026-03-31 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +3.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Walker Buehler's elite career credentials and SFG's historically poor early-season offense make San Diego a slight favorite in a projected low-scoring pitchers' duel at Petco Park."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -5.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Walker Buehler's elite career credentials and SFG's historically poor early-season offense make San Diego a slight favorite in a projected low-scoring pitchers' duel at Petco Park."
over under
63%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: +7.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Walker Buehler's elite career credentials and SFG's historically poor early-season offense make San Diego a slight favorite in a projected low-scoring pitchers' duel at Petco Park."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
88%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Edge: +33.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP -1.5
Edge: +50.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 2.5
Edge: +0.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +177 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -107 | -117 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -103/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +163 (+1.5) | -205 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +104 | -114 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -101 | -119 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -101/U -119) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +149 (+1.5) | -181 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -144 | +122 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +116 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -204 (-1.5) | +179 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +100 | -118 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.