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Final 6-11
Comerica Park
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Dustin May
6
@
DET
Detroit Tigers
Jack Flaherty
11
2026-04-04 · 17:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -3.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's offensive advantage over DET's struggling lineup is the deciding edge, though Flaherty's high-strikeout profile could neutralize it."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -27.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's offensive advantage over DET's struggling lineup is the deciding edge, though Flaherty's high-strikeout profile could neutralize it."
over under
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's offensive advantage over DET's struggling lineup is the deciding edge, though Flaherty's high-strikeout profile could neutralize it."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: -18.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET -1.5
Edge: -2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -148 (-1.5) | +128 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +138 | -175 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -103/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +139 | -165 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +113 | -136 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -153 (-1.5) | +126 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +116 | -136 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -166 (-1.5) | +138 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -147 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +145 | -172 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -158 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.