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Scheduled
Busch Stadium
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Mitch Keller
@
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore
2026-05-19 · 23:45 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
55%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PIT
Edge: +4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
run line
46%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
STL -1.5
Edge: -20.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
over under
46%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Over 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -208 (-1.5) | +179 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -108 | -115 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -205 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -178 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -101 | -119 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +156 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -102 | -116 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +162 (+1.5) | -196 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -207 (-1.5) | +181 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -108 | -108 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -107) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -186 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.