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Final 9-6
Great American Ball Park
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
José Soriano
9
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Andrew Abbott
6
2026-04-12 · 17:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -8.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"José Soriano's historically dominant 2026 start (0.45 ERA, 0.65 WHIP) against a Cincinnati offense that is severely underperforming with a .608 OPS and 2.93 runs/game is the decisive edge for the Angels."
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -7.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"José Soriano's historically dominant 2026 start (0.45 ERA, 0.65 WHIP) against a Cincinnati offense that is severely underperforming with a .608 OPS and 2.93 runs/game is the decisive edge for the Angels."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"José Soriano's historically dominant 2026 start (0.45 ERA, 0.65 WHIP) against a Cincinnati offense that is severely underperforming with a .608 OPS and 2.93 runs/game is the decisive edge for the Angels."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"José Soriano's exceptional early-season pitching (0.45 ERA, 3-0) provides LAA with a decisive advantage against Cincinnati's struggling offense."
run line
20%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -19.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"José Soriano's exceptional early-season pitching (0.45 ERA, 3-0) provides LAA with a decisive advantage against Cincinnati's struggling offense."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"José Soriano's exceptional early-season pitching (0.45 ERA, 3-0) provides LAA with a decisive advantage against Cincinnati's struggling offense."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: -8.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA +1.5
Edge: -0.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -217 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -112 | -110 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +184 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -113 | -107 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -108 | -108 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -184 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -216 (-1.5) | +187 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.