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Final 5-4
Chase Field
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Michael McGreevy
5
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Merrill Kelly
4
2026-07-18 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
60%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
ARI
Edge: +7.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
run line
45%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
ARI -1.5
Edge: -20.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
over under
45%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +177 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -105 | -112 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -186 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +101 | -111 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -103 | -117 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -185 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +158 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +159 (+1.5) | -194 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -102 | -116 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +158 (+1.5) | -192 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -109/U -105) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -204 (-1.5) | +179 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -104 | -113 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -101/U -120) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +162 (+1.5) | -192 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.