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Scheduled American Family Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Dylan Cease
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Chad Patrick
2026-04-15 · 23:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under 2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -8.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Dylan Cease's elite strikeout rate (17.61 K/9) faces Milwaukee's high-strikeout offense, while Toronto's 0-3 away record and inferior run production make them heavy underdogs despite Cease's quality start potential."

run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -29.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Dylan Cease's elite strikeout rate (17.61 K/9) faces Milwaukee's high-strikeout offense, while Toronto's 0-3 away record and inferior run production make them heavy underdogs despite Cease's quality start potential."

over under 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Dylan Cease's elite strikeout rate (17.61 K/9) faces Milwaukee's high-strikeout offense, while Toronto's 0-3 away record and inferior run production make them heavy underdogs despite Cease's quality start potential."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -13.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Milwaukee's superior team ERA and run production at home combined with Toronto's 0-3 road record creates a clear home-field advantage."

run line 29% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -34.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Milwaukee's superior team ERA and run production at home combined with Toronto's 0-3 road record creates a clear home-field advantage."

over under 25% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Milwaukee's superior team ERA and run production at home combined with Toronto's 0-3 road record creates a clear home-field advantage."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: +1.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL -1.5
Edge: -27.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -125 +105
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetMGM run line +140 (+1.5) -170 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -123 +112
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetOnline.ag run line +135 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -129 +104
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -110/U -113)
BetRivers run line +140 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -123 +112
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetUS run line +135 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -130 +108
Bovada over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Bovada run line +135 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -130 +110
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Caesars run line +135 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -131 +109
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
DraftKings run line +135 (+1.5) -163 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -124 +106
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -108/U -112)
FanDuel run line +146 (+1.5) -176 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -130 +110
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Fanatics run line +135 (+1.5) -165 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -123 +112
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O -102/U -113)
LowVig.ag run line +136 (+1.5) -154 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -127 +108
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -110/U -111)
MyBookie.ag run line +131 (+1.5) -161 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.