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Final 2-9
Daikin Park
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Brayan Bello
2
@
HOU
Houston Astros
Hunter Brown
9
2026-04-01 · 00:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +8.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Hunter Brown's early-season control issues (8.57 BB/9, 1.71 WHIP) are a stark departure from his career norms and could be the deciding factor in whether HOU's home advantage holds."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -8.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Hunter Brown's early-season control issues (8.57 BB/9, 1.71 WHIP) are a stark departure from his career norms and could be the deciding factor in whether HOU's home advantage holds."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Hunter Brown's early-season control issues (8.57 BB/9, 1.71 WHIP) are a stark departure from his career norms and could be the deciding factor in whether HOU's home advantage holds."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
73%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS
Edge: +28.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
69%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU -1.5
Edge: +27.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
86%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +135 | -150 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -148 | +134 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -172 (-1.5) | +151 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +133 | -167 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -109/U -114) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +127 | -141 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +124 | -148 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -145 | +122 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -149 | +123 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -138 | +118 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -150 | +125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -148 | +134 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -172 (-1.5) | +152 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +127 | -149 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +142 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.