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Final 5-3
Globe Life Field
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Brady Singer
5
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
MacKenzie Gore
3
2026-04-03 · 20:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -8.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"MacKenzie Gore's strong early-season form (3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) facing a Cincinnati offense hitting just .187 with 2.83 runs per game gives Texas a substantial advantage at home."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -33.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"MacKenzie Gore's strong early-season form (3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) facing a Cincinnati offense hitting just .187 with 2.83 runs per game gives Texas a substantial advantage at home."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"MacKenzie Gore's strong early-season form (3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) facing a Cincinnati offense hitting just .187 with 2.83 runs per game gives Texas a substantial advantage at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: +13.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX -1.5
Edge: -29.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
PUSH
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -210 | +165 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O 130/U -165) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +190 (+1.5) | -250 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +148 | -164 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -235 | +165 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -159/U 110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -107 (+1.0) | -129 (-1.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +147 | -166 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -240 | +180 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -130/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -110 (+1.0) | -120 (-1.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -170 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O 115/U -145) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +230 (+1.5) | -300 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -154 | +118 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O 108/U -140) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +234 (+1.5) | -325 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +122 | -144 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +148 | -164 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +127 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -182 | +140 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -154) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +200 (+1.5) | -286 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.