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Final 2-0
Chase Field
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Grant Holmes
2
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Eduardo Rodriguez
0
2026-04-04 · 01:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -21.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Eduardo Rodriguez's strong early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 9.0 K/9) at home gives ARI the edge, though Grant Holmes' career numbers suggest he may stabilize from his poor start."
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Eduardo Rodriguez's strong early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 9.0 K/9) at home gives ARI the edge, though Grant Holmes' career numbers suggest he may stabilize from his poor start."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Eduardo Rodriguez's strong early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 9.0 K/9) at home gives ARI the edge, though Grant Holmes' career numbers suggest he may stabilize from his poor start."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ARI
Edge: +1.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Edge: -3.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +142 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -122 | -103 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -117/U -107) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -167 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -107 | -103 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -112 | -108 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -106 | -110 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -112 | -105 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -179 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.