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Live 9-1
Target Field
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Connelly Early
9
@
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Simeon Woods Richardson
1
2026-04-15 · 17:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -3.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Minnesota's significant offensive advantage (4.73 vs 3.79 runs per game) combined with a strong home record and Boston's poor road performance makes the Twins clear favorites in this series finale."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -30.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Minnesota's significant offensive advantage (4.73 vs 3.79 runs per game) combined with a strong home record and Boston's poor road performance makes the Twins clear favorites in this series finale."
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Minnesota's significant offensive advantage (4.73 vs 3.79 runs per game) combined with a strong home record and Boston's poor road performance makes the Twins clear favorites in this series finale."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -13.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"MIN's dominant home record (5-2) and series advantage against struggling BOS road team (2-6) provides clear edge at Target Field."
run line
25%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -36.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"MIN's dominant home record (5-2) and series advantage against struggling BOS road team (2-6) provides clear edge at Target Field."
over under
24%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"MIN's dominant home record (5-2) and series advantage against struggling BOS road team (2-6) provides clear edge at Target Field."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS
Edge: -15.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS +1.5
Edge: +13.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -115 | +104 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -132 | +106 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -159 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -116 | +106 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -122 | +102 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -121 | +100 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +139 (+1.5) | -169 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -126 | +108 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +134 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -115 | +104 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U 100) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -120 | +103 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -178 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.