Skip to main content
Baseball Predictor
Log In
Back to Schedule
Final 4-5 Tropicana Field
NYY
New York Yankees
Cam Schlittler
4
@
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Drew Rasmussen
5
2026-04-12 · 17:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -17.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's historic early-season dominance (1.62 ERA, 0.48 WHIP, 0 walks in 16.2 IP) against a Tampa Bay team forced into a bullpen game is the decisive edge for New York."

run line 29% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -16.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's historic early-season dominance (1.62 ERA, 0.48 WHIP, 0 walks in 16.2 IP) against a Tampa Bay team forced into a bullpen game is the decisive edge for New York."

over under 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's historic early-season dominance (1.62 ERA, 0.48 WHIP, 0 walks in 16.2 IP) against a Tampa Bay team forced into a bullpen game is the decisive edge for New York."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 58% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -0.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's elite pitching performance (1.62 ERA, 0.0 BB/9) creates a significant matchup advantage against a weaker Tampa Bay offense and rotation."

run line 18% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -27.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's elite pitching performance (1.62 ERA, 0.0 BB/9) creates a significant matchup advantage against a weaker Tampa Bay offense and rotation."

over under 54% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Cam Schlittler's elite pitching performance (1.62 ERA, 0.0 BB/9) creates a significant matchup advantage against a weaker Tampa Bay offense and rotation."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -9.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 57% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY +1.5
Edge: +11.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 56% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. PUSH

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -135 +115
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetMGM run line +118 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -138 +125
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetOnline.ag run line +123 (+1.5) -143 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -148 +118
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -107/U -115)
BetRivers run line +120 (+1.5) -150 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -138 +125
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetUS run line +125 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -149 +125
Bovada over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Bovada run line +120 (+1.5) -140 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -140 +118
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Caesars run line +115 (+1.5) -135 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -143 +119
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -102/U -118)
DraftKings run line +123 (+1.5) -149 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -142 +120
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
FanDuel run line +120 (+1.5) -144 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -145 +120
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Fanatics run line +120 (+1.5) -145 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -138 +125
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O -102/U -113)
LowVig.ag run line +125 (+1.5) -141 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -141 +119
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -103/U -119)
MyBookie.ag run line +121 (+1.5) -149 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.