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Final 3-7
Petco Park
COL
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy Herget
3
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Randy Vásquez
7
2026-04-10 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -23.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season performance (0.75 ERA) against Colorado's unknown starter creates a significant pitching advantage for San Diego at home."
run line
26%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -20.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season performance (0.75 ERA) against Colorado's unknown starter creates a significant pitching advantage for San Diego at home."
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season performance (0.75 ERA) against Colorado's unknown starter creates a significant pitching advantage for San Diego at home."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -18.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season pitching (0.75 ERA) is the primary differentiator in a matchup between two struggling offenses."
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -12.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season pitching (0.75 ERA) is the primary differentiator in a matchup between two struggling offenses."
over under
66%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Randy Vásquez's dominant early-season pitching (0.75 ERA) is the primary differentiator in a matchup between two struggling offenses."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Edge: -16.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP -1.5
Edge: -13.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +162 | -180 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +163 | -205 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -121/U -103) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +116 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +164 | -187 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +153 | -185 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +153 | -186 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -149 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +166 | -198 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -128 (-1.5) | +106 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +162 | -180 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U 100) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +127 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +162 | -192 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.