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Final 3-7
Target Field
DET
Detroit Tigers
Casey Mize
3
@
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Joe Ryan
7
2026-04-06 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's significantly better pitching metrics (ERA 3.61 vs 4.63, WHIP 1.28 vs 1.47) give them a slight edge despite Minnesota's home-field advantage."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -29.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's significantly better pitching metrics (ERA 3.61 vs 4.63, WHIP 1.28 vs 1.47) give them a slight edge despite Minnesota's home-field advantage."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's significantly better pitching metrics (ERA 3.61 vs 4.63, WHIP 1.28 vs 1.47) give them a slight edge despite Minnesota's home-field advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN
Edge: -15.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN -1.5
Edge: -5.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -152 | +138 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -207 (-1.5) | +178 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +105 | -130 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -235 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +107 | -117 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +104 | -124 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 6.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -163 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 6.5 (O -125/U 104) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +109 (+1.5) | -131 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -172 | +144 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -152 | +138 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -206 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +104 | -122 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -122/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -208 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.